Paul Skenes start against D-backs on Wednesday

Paul Skenes eyes a bounce-back outing when he takes the mound against the D-backs in Arizona on Wednesday evening, with first pitch scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET.

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The Pirates’ ace allowed five runs (four earned) on eight hits -- including a pair of first-inning home runs -- and took the loss last Thursday against the Cardinals. Though Skenes recorded a season-high nine strikeouts in the 10-5 defeat, he noted after the game that he didn’t have the best command of his stuff, especially early on.

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Skenes is 4-2 with a 3.18 ERA through seven starts. In many ways, though, the defending NL Cy Young Award winner has pitched even better than his overall line indicates.

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Among pitchers to throw at least 30 innings, Skenes ranks in the top 10 in batting average against (.182) and strikeout-minus-walk rate (24.1%). Of that same group, only Shohei Ohtani has a lower Statcast expected ERA (2.24), which takes into account the amount of contact and the quality of that contact. Skenes is still inducing the sort of pitcher-friendly contact that he always has.

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Skenes rounded into form following a frustrating Opening Day start, pitching to a 0.95 ERA while allowing just three runs in 28 1/3 innings across his next five starts. That stretch included Pittsburgh’s third-longest perfect game bid in the Expansion Era (since 1961), when he was perfect through 6 2/3 innings against the Brewers.

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Skenes is 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA in three career starts against the D-backs, notching 20 strikeouts in 18 innings. Nolan Arenado (5-for-14) and Corbin Carroll (3-for-9) are the Arizona hitters with the best career numbers against the right-hander.

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Pittsburgh -- which has the makings of a legitimate contender in a tough NL Central -- is 4-3 in Skenes' seven starts this season, heading into the middle game of the three-game set with the D-backs.

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