The ATP French Open fourth round on May 31 features two exciting matchups as players battle for a place in the quarterfinals in Paris. Rafael Jodar continues his impressive breakthrough run after surviving two difficult matches, while Pablo Carreno-Busta brings valuable experience and strong clay-court form into this all-Spanish clash. Alexander Zverev also looks to continue his dominant campaign against Jesper de Jong, who arrives full of confidence after a marathon upset victory over Karen Khachanov.
ATP French Open 1/8-Finals
Jodar – Carreno-Busta: 31.05.2026 12:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Rafael Jodar has won four of his last five matches. This week in Paris, the Spaniard demolished Kovacevic in the opening round in straight sets. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. In the second round, Jodar had a rough battle against Duckworth, winning in four sets. His toughest challenge happened in the third round against Michelsen. The Spaniard trailed 1-2, but turned the match around. He served well in the fourth and fifth sets, which was the main reason he won in five sets.
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won four of his last five matches. This week at the French Open, Carreno-Busta upset Lehecka in the opening match in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. In the second round, Kokkinakis retired at the beginning of the third set against Carreno-Busta. In the third round, the Spaniard upset Tirante in four tight sets. Last season in Paris, the Spaniard lost to Tiafoe in the second round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Carreno-Busta is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Jodar struggled against Duckworth and Michelsen. On the other hand, Carreno-Busta had a tough draw but still came out on top. We expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Carreno-Busta covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Pablo Carreno-Busta +6.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
De Jong – Zverev: 31.05.2026 15:30 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Jesper de Jong has won four of his last five matches. This week in Paris, de Jong defeated Wawrinka in the opening match in four sets. In the second round, he demolished Cina in straight sets. He trailed 1-3 in the opening set, but turned it around. His toughest challenge happened in the third round against Khachanov. After playing for almost five hours, de Jong upset Khachanov in five tight sets.
Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Paris, Zverev defeated Bonzi and Machac in straight sets in the opening rounds. In the third round, Zverev outlasted Halys in four sets. Zverev had a chance to close out the match in straight sets, but served poorly in two games. He was the finalist here in 2024. Last season, the German lost to Djokovic in the quarterfinals in four sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is the biggest favourite to win the title this year at the French Open. De Jong had a rough five-set battle against Khachanov. We expect Zverev to dominate on his serve and backhand side.
That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -7.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
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