In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Dooho Choi and Daniel Santos meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 276 — also known as UFC Vegas 117 — at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET, followed by the main card at 8 p.m. ET (all on Paramount+). Let’s analyze UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 276: Choi vs. Santos odds and make our expert UFC picks and predictions.
Records: Choi (16-4-1) | Santos (14-2-0)
Choi has recorded KO/TKO victories in the past 2 bouts, against Bill Algeo and Nate Landwehr. His most recent outing was a Round 3 KO/TKO of Landwehr at UFC 310 on Dec. 7, 2024. He hasn’t fought since due to a knee injury, and he had to pull out of UFC Winnipeg.
Santos picked up a Round 2 KO/TKO against JooSang Yoo last time out at UFC 320 on Oct. 4, 2025. He has won 4 straight fights since losing via unanimous decision in his company debut at UFC 273 against Julio Arce in April 2022. Santos has 2 KO/TKO victories and 2 unanimous-decision wins in the 4-bout win streak.
Choi steps into the octagon sporting a 3-inch reach advantage over Santos. The significant strikes landed per minute difference is rather negligible, with Santos at 4.76 and Choi at 4.67. Choi is much more accurate on those strikes, however, recording 60.75% mark, to just 47.74% for Santos.
Looking to takedown average, Santos checks in at 3.01 while Choi has a 1.43 mark in the category. Choi is more accurate on those takedowns, however, posting a 53.85% mark, to 40.00% for Santos. Choi has managed a 0.61 submission average, while Santos has yet to register in the category.
UFC Fight Night 276: Choi vs. Santos odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Choi +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Santos -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
- Total rounds: 2.5 (Over -110 | Under -120)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +150 | No -210)
UFC Fight Night 276: Choi vs. Santos picks and predictions
SANTOS (-170) is a strong play on the 2-way line as a moderate favorite, and he is fine to play as long as he stays under -180, which is my personal moneyline for a standalone wager. He is an even better play as part of a multi-leg parlay.
Santos has won his past 4 fights, and he has 2 finishes in the span thanks to his powerful punching. And, while Choi has wins in his past 2 fights, he is just 2-3-1 in his previous 6 outings overall. The Brazilian fighter can do so many things to wow the judges, and therefore SANTOS BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+275) is worth a look for the chance to nearly triple up.
Over 2.5 Rounds (-110) makes less sense than YES (+150): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE for the chance to multiply up by 1 1/2 times.
Choi has gone the distance just once in his past 5 fights, so don’t get carried away. However, Santos has needed the help of the judges to determine a winner in 3 of his past 5 fights.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Daniel Dobish on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
