EXCLUSIVE: Disney/Pixar’s Toy Story 5 is bound to have a friend with moviegoers. A lot of moviegoers. Three-week tracking for the animated feature co-directed by Andrew Stanton and Kenna Harris is at $150 million, which if those numbers stick will be a record opening for the franchise ahead of Toy Story 4‘s $120.9M back in pre-Covid 2019.

Also if that projection hits, it will represent the biggest opening of 2026 year-to-date, topping the three-day of Illumination/Nintendo/Universal’s Super Mario Galaxy Movie ($131.7M). Toy Story 5 is opening on the prized Pixar weekend of June 19.

In addition, Toy Story 5‘s start in North America would rep the best summer has seen so far.

Note that tracking overshot the projection of Toy Story 4, so when that opened, it was like ‘Wah, really?’ Note anything north of $120.9M is sublime for Disney.

Toy Story 5 is the fifth movie in a 31-year-old franchise, so it’s not oversaturated by any means. First choice right now is strong with women and men under 25. Overall first choice and all four quad demos are ahead of Toy Story 4, though slightly behind Super Mario Galaxy Movie. Disney is expecting plenty of families, and everyone from mom and dad to granny and gramps. Overall first choice is also ahead of Inside Out 2, which post-Covid debuted to $154.2M back in June 2024.

Tickets just went on sale Tuesday for Toy Story 5.

The biggest opening ever for an animated movie at the domestic box office belongs to Disney/Pixar’s Incredibles 2 with $182.6M.

Also arriving on tracking today is A24’s Michael Sarnoski-directed The Death of Robin Hood, which is looking like an under-$10M three-day forecast at this point in time.